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Credit Scores in the U.S. at Record Lows

A recent report from the Associated Press notes that Americans’ credit scores have dropped to all-time lows, with 25.5 percent of the country scoring below 600. Here’s a closer look at that figure and what it might mean for future borrowing.

Credit Scores & Borrowing

When you apply for a loan, most lenders review your FICO credit score, which can range from 300 to 850 and is based on the information in your credit report (available to view at www.annualcreditreport.com). Higher scores qualify borrowers for larger loans and loans with more attractive terms (like lower interest rates); lower scores indicate that a borrower might be a greater risk to a lender, and so qualify borrowers for smaller loans and ones with higher interest rates.

The recently released data on credit scores reportedly show the following figures:

• Scores of 599 and below: The number of people in the “low” range of credit scores has apparently jumped since the Great Recession hit—while a typical year finds that about 15 percent of those with active credit (about 25.5 million people) fall into this category, currently 25.5 percent (about 43.4 million people) reportedly score in this range.
• Scores in the middle range (650 – 699): Sources indicate that this group traditionally comprises about 15 percent of active credit users, but has fallen to 11.9 percent in recent years. The shift suggests that those most likely to take out home and car loans might now be deterred from doing so because of lowered credit scores and thus more costly loans.
• Scores in the high range (800 and above): The good news, it seems, is that the number of people with very high credit scores have increased: while the typical average hovers close to 13 percent, recent research found the group to comprise 17.9 percent of credit users.

So what does this mean for individual consumers and the larger economy?

A Slow Recovery?

Sources note that much of the economic growth in the boom years before the Great Recession was fueled by borrowing—also known as debt. While Americans were spending plenty of money, much of it was money they didn’t actually have (in the form of credit cards, mortgages, car loans, etc.).

The sky-high foreclosure rate and steadily climbing number of personal bankruptcy filings suggests that we’ve learned a lesson or two about debt as a nation, which may mean two things: first, that lenders will be a bit more discerning when issuing loans; and second, that borrowers will be a little more cautious when applying for them.

This could translate to a slow recovery, as we pare back our spending in favor of building up safety nets.

Posted in Bankruptcy, Credit Score, Credit and Bankruptcy, borrowing, recession | Comments Off

Consumer Borrowing, Retail & Median Home Prices Boost Economy

Government groups have published numbers for various economic indicators for March and April, giving a little insight into how our nation’s economic situation is changing. Here’s a summary of a few of these telling figures.

Consumer Borrowing Up in March

Since February of 2009, consumer borrowing in the U.S. has reportedly been falling, as we collectively try to claw our finances out of the red.

But March 2010 showed a surprising increase in consumer borrowing—a $1.95 billion increase, according to sources, which far outstripped the $3.85 billion loss many experts expected.

The increase could be a fluke, but it could equally be a sign that American households are becoming more optimistic about spending money.

Retail Rises Slightly in April

Retail sales blossomed in March, thanks in part to an early Easter. April’s numbers represent smaller growth, but growth nonetheless:

• March retail sales saw a 7.9 percent increase over sales in March of 2009.
• April retail sales grew only 0.5 percent compared with those a year earlier; however, in April 2009, sales decreased 2.7 percent from the previous year.
• Combined sales in March and April increased by 4.8 percent; January and February sales increased by only 3.3 and four percent.

While the slower growth in April may seem like cause for concern, many analysts are not worried, pointing to the fact that some growth occurred and that this year’s early Easter likely shifted people’s shopping patterns.

And, as one commentator in this New York Times article notes, economic recoveries don’t always happen linearly.

Median Home Prices

NPR reported this week that median home prices are on the rise in about 60 percent (91 out of 152) of the country’s cities surveyed.

This marks significant improvement from the final quarter of 2009, when only about 40 percent of median home prices were rising. Here’s a look at some of the hard numbers:

• 36 percent of all first-quarter sales were foreclosures and other distressed properties;
• Nationally, the median price was $166,100, about 0.7 percent below the median price in the first quarter of 2009;
• Prices jumped significantly in Saginaw, MI; Akron, OH; and Cleveland, OH; and
• Prices fell significantly in Orlando, FL; Ocala, FL; and Cumberland, MD.

Posted in Bankruptcy and the Economy, Credit, Economy, borrowing, housing, retail | Comments Off