Archive for the ‘recession’ Category
Monday, June 6th, 2011
The latest figures from Standard & Poor’s Case-Schiller Index show that the double-dip in the housing market many economists feared is now a reality. In other words, according to sources, housing market prices have taken another nosedive and home values are now near the same level they were in mid-2002.
How much of a dip is this second downward spike? Reports indicate that:
- The first quarter of 2011 saw a 4.2 percent decline in home prices.
- In the final quarter of 2010, prices dropped 3.6 percent.
- Home prices are currently 5.1 percent lower than they were this time last year and, according to Standard & Poor’s, have reached a new low even for the recession.
If all this sounds like bad news, the kicker is that the cycle of foreclosures and lowered home values seems unlikely to end any time soon.
Gloomy Outlook for the Housing Market
Consider these troublesome figures.
- About 1.9 million homes in the U.S. are currently in some stage of foreclosure, according to RealtyTrac, a company that keeps track of such things.
- Housing prices fall when supply is greater than demand (that is, when there are more homes available than people looking to buy).
- Right now, supply is skyrocketing: empty foreclosure properties are common sights in many states, and apparently nearly two million more are about to follow.
- Unfortunately, demand is also fairly low: many Americans are still skittish about their employment situation and unwilling to take on the burden of a mortgage. Further, many banks have tightened lending standards, making mortgage loans harder to come by even for those interested in buying.
- On top of all this, sources note that as many as 28 percent of U.S. homes are currently underwater, meaning that the owner owes more on the mortgage than the home’s current value. Underwater homeowners may find themselves in foreclosure down the line, whether by strategically defaulting or by being unable to make payments.
Can Chapter 13 Bankruptcy Help?
In the past, Chapter 13 bankruptcy has often been heralded as a way to stave off or prevent foreclosure for some filers. The question of whether Chapter 13 could help some of the millions of Americans who might have mortgage foreclosure in their future is a complex one.
Chapter 13 may work for some people facing foreclosure, but only if those people have sufficient income to make regular payments according to the repayment plan. In other words, if you’re in danger of losing your home because you lost your job, Chapter 13 may not do the trick.
One interesting note, though, is that some sources have reported bankruptcy judges ruling for mortgage cram-downs in Chapter 13 cases, despite laws that prohibit such rulings.
Posted in Bankruptcy and the Economy, Economy, Foreclosure, Mortgage Foreclosure, housing market, recession | Comments Off
Monday, February 28th, 2011
A recent report from the New York Times highlights a troubling change in the banking industry: according to the Times, banks across the country have taken to closing branches in middle- and low-income neighborhoods even as they maintained or opened new branches in wealthier areas.
Personal finance experts of all stripes are understandably upset about the shift – fewer available banks could have disastrous consequences for the financial health of families in affected areas.
The High Cost of Being “Unbanked”
Here’s a look at some of the potential ramifications closing banks in poorer areas.
- Increased reliance on payday lenders and check cashers: Without nearby bank branches, families in effected communities will be pushed to rely for their financial needs on so-called “predatory” lenders such as payday loan stores, cash advance outfits and check cashers. Such organizations can contribute to a cycle of poverty by charging high interest rates and fees for their services without offering clients a vehicle for saving their money.
- Diminished saving incentives and opportunities: Without ready access to savings accounts, people living in communities without brick-and-mortar banks have a slimmer chance at reaping the benefits of opening a savings account (including earning interest on their money). In the long term, this can make financial emergencies particularly devastating, and can lead to bankruptcy filings.
- Damaged credit and decreased ability to get loans: One thing that a savings account does is to bolster a person’s credit rating – when lenders run a credit check, they can view the status of a potential borrower’s bank accounts. Those with accounts in good standing who have a cash cushion available to them are considered better credit risks than those without any cash reserves. This can affect interest rates a borrower pays and thus determine how expensive or inexpensive a loan is.
A Look at the Numbers
So how dramatic was the shift toward closing banks in lower-income areas in the last two years? Here’s a look at the numbers, as reported in the Times:
- More closings than openings: 2010 reportedly marked the first year in a decade and a half that more banks closed their doors in the U.S. than opened them.
- Number of closings: In 2009, the country boasted 99,550 bank branches; last year, that number had fallen to 98,517 branches, nearly a 1,000-branch drop.
- Number of unbanked Americans: It seems that as many as 30 million Americans rely primarily or in part on “non-traditional” financial institutions like check cashers and payday lenders – that’s about 10 percent of the country.
- Big banks participating: While some smaller banks reportedly closed branches as part of consolidation moves to survive serious debt, it seems that Bank of America also closed 25 branches in communities with moderate income levels and opened 14 in richer places.
So why is this happening? On proposed reason is that the Community Reinvestment Act, meant to improve financial opportunities in poorer areas, is being insufficiently enforced.
Posted in Bankruptcy and Predatory Lending, Bankruptcy and the Economy, Consumer Credit, payday loans, predatory lending, recession | Comments Off
Tuesday, February 15th, 2011
Though the U.S. economy is certainly not in top health just yet, a number of indicators suggest that we may be pulling out of this recession – but that may be a mixed blessing for many consumers.
Two recent reports (one from the Federal Reserve and one from CareOne Services) suggest that Americans have started spending more, which may be good for the economy overall, but could be a bad thing for individual debt loads.
Consumer Debt, State by State
The CareOne Services report examined 135,000 people across the country who were active in some sort of debt management program in 2009 or 2010 and found that, among that group, the average debt load was more than $10,000 in every state.
Here’s a look at the top of the heap for unsecured debt in the U.S.:
- Delaware: Average consumer debt is $20,233, spread over seven creditors.
- Rhode Island: Average consumer debt is $20,130, spread over seven creditors.
- Maine: Average consumer debt is $19,454, spread over six creditors.
- Alaska: Average consumer debt is $19,225, spread over six creditors.
- Colorado: Average consumer debt is $18,811, spread over six creditors.
- South Dakota: Average consumer debt is $18,707, spread over seven creditors.
- North Carolina: Average consumer debt is $18,536, spread over six creditors.
- Connecticut: Average consumer debt is $17,334, spread over six creditors.
- Wisconsin: Average consumer debt is $16,903, spread over five creditors.
- Alabama: Average consumer debt is $16,591, spread over seven creditors.
The ten states that had the lowest debt totals for those seeking debt settlement or debt management services are:
- California: Average consumer debt is $12,801, to five creditors.
- Michigan: Average consumer debt is $13,328, to five creditors.
- Mississippi: Average consumer debt is $13,512, to six creditors.
- Vermont: Average consumer debt is $13,707, to five creditors.
- Missouri: Average consumer debt is $13,737, to six creditors.
- Indiana: Average consumer debt is $13,945, to five creditors.
- Kentucky: Average consumer debt is $14,028, to six creditors.
- Iowa: Average consumer debt is $14,099, to five creditors.
- Virginia: Average consumer debt is $14,194, to five creditors.
- Tennessee: Average consumer debt is $14,222, to six creditors.
Increased Spending, Increased Debt, Increasing Need for Debt Relief?
During the holiday season, many economists seemed cheered by the increases in consumer spending, but personal finance advocates may find the same numbers troubling. The Fed’s report shows that our nation’s revolving debt (which basically means credit card debt) rose by 3.5 percent in December of last year.
Further, though our total amount of revolving debt apparently dropped in 2010, it dropped by a smaller amount than in 2009. This could mean that people are optimistic about the job market and the economy in general, but it could also mean they’re turning to their credit cards for necessities they can no longer afford thanks to rising prices or decreased income - and risk taking on more debt than they can handle and heading towards bankruptcy.
Posted in Bankruptcy and the Economy, Credit and Bankruptcy, Economy, consumer debt, recession | Comments Off
Wednesday, February 9th, 2011
Since the housing boom of the early 2000s, the housing picture in the U.S. has changed dramatically, as anyone struggling to make mortgage payments each month already knows. But exactly what is the state of mortgages and foreclosures right now in the country? Here’s a look at some indicators that say a lot.
Lowest Homeownership Rate In More than a Decade
Recent data released by the Census Bureau (and reported at Credit.com) show that home ownership in the United States has dipped to its lowest level since 1998:
- In the fourth quarter of 2010, 66.5 percent of Americans reported owning their own home.
- In 2009, 67.2 percent of the nation claimed homeowner status; the drop reflects the continued effects of the recession on income and ability to make mortgage payments.
- At its peak in 2004, as many as 69.2 percent of Americans reported owning a home.
Just as subprime loans were found to disproportionately affect non-white home buyers, it seems that foreclosure rates are currently higher among that segment of the population: in 2007, the number of African Americans that owned a home was reported at 48 percent; a year later, the number had already fallen to 44.8 percent. Similarly, among Hispanic families, 50 percent reported homeownership in 2007, but only 46.8 percent did in the last quarter of 2010.
Perhaps the most troubling aspect of these numbers is their apparent explanation: while the first wave of foreclosures resulted largely from the resetting of subprime loans, this wave seems to be more a result of long-term job loss hindering homeowners’ ability to make their (otherwise affordable) mortgage payments.
Homeowners on their Own to Fight Foreclosure?
In a related story, The New York Times recently reported that, more and more, Americans are having to fight the foreclosure of their homes without legal representation or outside help. According to the article, areas of the country with high foreclosure rates are holding how-to workshops for individuals and couples interested in contesting foreclosure in the courts.
New reports apparently show that foreclosure is shifting its face in the court system: what was once a process that involved mostly paperwork now, it seems, involves more and more people actually visiting the court to make their case for keeping their homes.
How Can I Fight Foreclosure?
Whether you’re struggling from job loss, job reduction or an unaffordable mortgage loan, you may be able to fight foreclosure with the help of a Chapter 13 bankruptcy filing. Thanks to its three- to five-year repayment plan, Chapter 13 helps many homeowners catch up on their mortgage payments by rearranging the amount and type of debt they’re responsible for paying each month.
Posted in Bankruptcy and the Economy, Foreclosure, Mortgage Foreclosure, recession, stop foreclosure, unemployment | Comments Off
Wednesday, November 24th, 2010
If you, like millions of other Americans, are currently in some stage of the foreclosure process, you’re probably wondering what you can expect from life after foreclosure. The bad news is that losing a home to the bank will almost certainly have a negative impact on your credit – the good news, though, is that the current foreclosure glut means that mortgage foreclosure might not be quite as bad as it used to be.
What to Expect from Credit, Jobs, Cars and More
So which areas of your life might be affected by foreclosure action? According to a recent posting from WalletPop.com, a lot.
- Your credit: As with a bankruptcy filing, a mortgage foreclosure will remain on your credit report for seven years – but the overall impact it has on your score and the way creditors view you should decrease with time. Because you likely won’t be able to open any new credit cards in the months and years directly following your foreclosure, it’s a good idea to keep up with payments on whatever cards you have now. Credit cards can play a central role in helping you rebuild your credit and thus qualifying for loans in the future.
- Your career: Though some states have outlawed pre-hiring credit checks, many states still permit it, and plenty of employers take a peek at applicants’ credit histories as part of the screening process. If you’re looking for work, it’s important to be realistic and understand that your foreclosure might prevent you from getting jobs in economic fields.
- Future purchases and loans: As mentioned above, a mortgage foreclosure will ding your credit rating in a pretty serious way, so you shouldn’t expect to qualify for a car loan or a new mortgage for a while. But that doesn’t mean you’ll be stranded on an island without any options for moving forward. The WalletPop.com post mentions one option called a “lease purchase,” wherein a person can agree to make regular rental payments to a landlord and decide, at some future point, to put those payments toward the purchase of the house.
On the Bright Side: Greater Understanding
The bright spot in all this foreclosure gloom is that, because so many Americans are currently struggling with foreclosure-related problems, more people are aware of the sorts of extenuating circumstances (like death, divorce, serious illness or injury, job loss, etc.) that can lead otherwise responsible financially individuals into mortgage foreclosure.
So, suggests the post mentioned above, don’t underestimate the power of explaining your situation to potential lenders or sellers. And, of course, don’t ever give up on rebuilding and maintaining your credit to demonstrate that you’re a good credit risk.
Posted in Foreclosure, Mortgage Foreclosure, Personal Finance, recession | Comments Off
Friday, July 16th, 2010
A recent report from the Associated Press notes that Americans’ credit scores have dropped to all-time lows, with 25.5 percent of the country scoring below 600. Here’s a closer look at that figure and what it might mean for future borrowing.
Credit Scores & Borrowing
When you apply for a loan, most lenders review your FICO credit score, which can range from 300 to 850 and is based on the information in your credit report (available to view at www.annualcreditreport.com). Higher scores qualify borrowers for larger loans and loans with more attractive terms (like lower interest rates); lower scores indicate that a borrower might be a greater risk to a lender, and so qualify borrowers for smaller loans and ones with higher interest rates.
The recently released data on credit scores reportedly show the following figures:
- Scores of 599 and below: The number of people in the “low” range of credit scores has apparently jumped since the Great Recession hit—while a typical year finds that about 15 percent of those with active credit (about 25.5 million people) fall into this category, currently 25.5 percent (about 43.4 million people) reportedly score in this range.
- Scores in the middle range (650 – 699): Sources indicate that this group traditionally comprises about 15 percent of active credit users, but has fallen to 11.9 percent in recent years. The shift suggests that those most likely to take out home and car loans might now be deterred from doing so because of lowered credit scores and thus more costly loans.
- Scores in the high range (800 and above): The good news, it seems, is that the number of people with very high credit scores have increased: while the typical average hovers close to 13 percent, recent research found the group to comprise 17.9 percent of credit users.
So what does this mean for individual consumers and the larger economy?
A Slow Recovery?
Sources note that much of the economic growth in the boom years before the Great Recession was fueled by borrowing—also known as debt. While Americans were spending plenty of money, much of it was money they didn’t actually have (in the form of credit cards, mortgages, car loans, etc.).
The sky-high foreclosure rate and steadily climbing number of personal bankruptcy filings suggests that we’ve learned a lesson or two about debt as a nation, which may mean two things: first, that lenders will be a bit more discerning when issuing loans; and second, that borrowers will be a little more cautious when applying for them.
This could translate to a slow recovery, as we pare back our spending in favor of building up safety nets.
Posted in Bankruptcy, Credit Score, Credit and Bankruptcy, borrowing, recession | Comments Off
Tuesday, April 27th, 2010
As the weather warms up around the country, a new survey shows the job market may be starting to thaw.
A survey by the National Association for Business Economics released yesterday revealed the most optimistic job outlook in several years.
Business leaders said they expect to lay off fewer employees and hire more new workers in the coming months.
The survey was conducted from Mar. 25 to April 10, and spanned business leaders and members of the NABE, said the Associated Press in their report. Some numbers from the survey:
- 22 percent of companies said they planned to increase payrolls, up from just 13 percent in January.
- 37 percent expected to add employees in the next six months.
- 13 percent expected to lay off workers. From the same survey in January 28 percent of companies expected layoffs.
- More than half saw stronger demand in their industry.
Add these up and the job market looks much better than it did just a few months ago. Big industries like finance, insurance and real estate all said they had plans to add more new hires in the next few months than they were in previous quarters. Meanwhile, a mere 3 percent of survey respondents predicted "significant" layoffs, and many companies reported having more merchandise and materials on hand than previous quarters.
So if you're among the unemployed or underemployed it may time to dust off the resume and give it a workout, because companies have plans to hire more workers soon. It's unclear how much of an immediate impact this could have on bankruptcy filing rates.
Posted in Bankruptcy and the Economy, job outlook, recession, unemployment | Comments Off
Saturday, April 17th, 2010
The week of the nation’s tax filing deadline saw some important financial news. Here’s a summary of what happened and what it might mean for you.
Recession’s End Unclear
The Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research, the group responsible for determining official start and end dates for recessions based on analysis of various economic indicators, announced this week that it cannot yet declare an end to the recession.
The press release indicates that, though many economic indicators have improved in recent months (including subprime mortgage defaults and retail sales), it is still too early to say whether or not the recession has officially ended.
Interestingly, though, one member of the committee disagreed with the committee’s final decision and issued a memo indicating as much, citing the following two indicators as primary reasons why he believes the recession has already ended:
- Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which measures the market value of all goods and services produced inside a country in a given year, has reportedly improved since June of 2009, from what’s called the “trough;” and
- Real Gross Domestic Income (GDI) has also apparently improved, though not for so long a period – the memo indicates it started its upswing in the final quarter of 2009.
He also notes that the economy’s recovery should not surprise anyone, suggesting that, because we “fell” so hard, our “bounce” back should be swift and forceful.
Unemployment Benefits Extension in Congress
Though some economic indicators may be on the upslope, unemployment still hovers close to 10 percent, meaning that millions of American families may not feel the recession’s end for a while.
But there may be hope for such families: a report from the New York Times notes that the Senate has voted 60 – 40 in favor of extending unemployment benefits to out-of-work Americans.
The measure, should it pass both houses of Congress and get signed into law, would apparently cost somewhere in the neighborhood of $18 billion, which seems to be a point of contention for many Senate Republicans.
The (Higher) Future of Taxes
Newsweek reported this week that, thanks to serious budget deficits at the federal level and an aging American populace, there’s a good chance taxes will increase – even sharply – in coming years.
While this may not seem like the best news, take this year to enjoy your current tax level!
Posted in Bankruptcy and the Economy, Economy, recession, spending, unemployemnt | Comments Off
Saturday, January 16th, 2010
The Bureau of Labor Statistics has released its most recent unemployment numbers (for December 2009), and they paint a gloomy picture of the U.S. job landscape.
While the actual unemployment rate and number of unemployed people in the country remain unchanged from the last recorded period (10.0 percent and 15.3 million, respectively), certain figures point to a dismal immediate future.
Unemployment by the Numbers
Here's a look at a breakdown of the current unemployment figures for the United States:
- Adult men: 10.2 percent
- Adult women: 8.2 percent
- Teenagers: 27.1 percent
- Whites: 9.0 percent
- Blacks: 16.2 percent
- Hispanics: 12.9 percent
- Asians: 8.4 percent
While these numbers represent little movement in either direction from the BLS's last report, they also don’t paint the whole picture. For example:
- Long-term unemployment continued its upward movement, reaching 6.1 million people who have been without work for 27 weeks or more, composing approximately 40 percent of the total number of unemployed people.
- The number of underemployed people remains at 9.2 million – though these people are working, they have fewer hours than they’d like because of economic restraints.
- A whopping 929,000 workers are considered "discouraged," meaning they’re out of work and they would like to work but have stopped looking for jobs because they believe none are available. A year ago, the number of discouraged workers was only 642,000.
Perhaps unsurprisingly, job losses continued in certain sectors (including construction, manufacturing and wholesale trade) and increased in temporary help services (likely from holiday hires).
Looking Ahead
So what do these numbers mean for the future of the U.S. economy and job market? Some analysts suggest the unemployment rate will actually get higher as the economy begins to pick up.
This may sound counter-intuitive, but makes sense upon closer examination: as the economic situation improves nationally, more people will likely enter the work force, believing more opportunities for work are available. And, even if more jobs do crop up, they may not keep pace with the number of new workers seeking employment.
For now, the problem of long-term unemployment continues to plague Americans: the average length of time without a job was 29.1 weeks as of December, which is apparently the highest average since 1948, when records were first kept.
Additional Resources
Employment Situation (BLS News Release, January 2010)
Posted in employment, recession, unemployment | Comments Off